February 2008 Archives

Kingsway reports decreasing profits

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Kingsway Financial Services Inc. (TSE:KFS) reported a net loss of US$103.5 million for 2007 Q4 and a net loss of US$18.5 million for the year, marking a decrease of 716% and 115% over the same periods of 2006, respectively.
The combined ratio was 130.2% in the quarter (109.3% for the year), with Canadian operations reporting a combined ratio of 99.8% (95.0% for the year), a Kingsway release says.

via

Fitch Ratings says the U.S. property and casualty insurance industry will need to produce a combined ratio of about 95.5% in 2008 in order to meet the goal of an 11% return on surplus.
Fitch made this observation in a report outlining the rating agency's five-factor model for determining return on surplus. The five factors in the forecasting model include:
• combined ratio (underwriting losses + expenses)/net premium;
• investment yield (investment income/invested assets);
• operating leverage (net premium/surplus);
• asset leverage (invested assets/surplus); and
• tax rates (the level at which pre-tax income is taxed).
For the purpose of forecasting into 2008, the ratings agency assumed operating leverage to be 0.8x, asset leverage to be 2.4x and a tax rate at the long-term average effective rate of 23%.

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